Gold Price Today: Gold Rises 0.3% to $4,190 as Yields and Oil Ease
Gold dipped to $4,151 on Monday night, held there, and rose to $4,200 as Treasury yields fell when the bond market reopened. Here’s what moved metals before the New York open, the levels our desk is watching, and why Wednesday’s inflation report is the next test.
For general information only, not investment advice. Ausecure is a precious-metals dealer and sells the products discussed.
This pre-market note uses Ausecure prices as of 8:37 AM ET on Oct 13, 2026. For how gold and silver finished Monday, read our market close note from last night.
Update, 11:33 AM ET: gold has turned lower since this note’s 8:37 AM ET prices. Our ask is now $4,166.80, down $9.00 (0.2%) from Monday’s close, and silver is $59.48, down $0.96 (1.6%). The pre-market figures below are as of 8:37 AM ET. Tonight’s market close note will cover the full U.S. session.
The short version
- Gold price today: $4,189.60 an ounce on our ask at 8:37 AM ET, up $13.80 (0.3%) from Monday’s closing ask of $4,175.80. Spot traded between $4,150.79 and $4,200.63 overnight.
- Silver price today: $60.38 on our ask, down $0.06 (0.1%). Spot ranged from $59.58 to $60.74 overnight. The gold/silver ratio is 69.4.
- Why: the dollar index fell 0.3% and the 10-year Treasury yield dropped about 0.05 percentage point as the bond market reopened after Columbus Day. Brent crude eased about 1.3%.
- What’s next: gold stopped right at $4,200 and has not closed above it. U.S. CPI on Wednesday at 8:30 AM ET is the main event of the week.
Why was gold up before the open?
Gold ended Monday at $4,175.80 on our ask. In early Asian trading it slipped, reaching $4,150.79 at 9:45 PM ET on about twice normal volume. That put it within a dollar of the $4,143–$4,150 area where gold broke out last Thursday. It did not close a 15-minute bar below $4,155 and bounced straight back.
The dip was selling in gold itself. Between 8:00 and 9:45 PM ET the dollar, Treasury yields and oil were all falling, which normally helps gold. We found no headline that explains it.
The rebound that followed lined up with lower rates. U.S. bonds started trading again at 8:00 PM ET after Monday’s holiday, and the 10-year yield fell from 5.23% to 5.19%. Gold rose to $4,200.63 at 1:15 AM ET, stalled there, and has traded between about $4,180 and $4,195 since. FXStreet tied the recovery to easing yields and oil prices. Brent crude slipped from $106.24 to about $104.55 overnight. HDFC Sky’s commodity research noted that Russia partly lifted its diesel export limits on Oct 10 under a deal with the U.S. Over the past two weeks, lower oil has tended to help gold, because it eases inflation worries and the odds of another Fed rate hike.
Gold spot (XAU/USD), past two weeks
How much was the dollar?
All of it. The U.S. Dollar Index fell 0.30% to 102.27 since Monday afternoon. Based on how gold has traded against the dollar, that would have lifted gold about 0.5%. Spot rose 0.3%, so gold actually lagged the weaker dollar slightly.
A second check: gold measured against a basket of major currencies (gold × DXY) is flat since Monday afternoon. Today’s gain is a softer dollar, not new demand for gold.
Gold vs. the U.S. dollar, rebased to 100
Bid and ask for gold, silver, platinum and palladium, updated as the market moves. Every order is priced off the live market and confirmed when you place it.
Silver price today: lagging gold
Silver is at $60.38 on our ask, down 6 cents from Monday’s $60.44. Spot fell to $59.58 at 9:45 PM ET, the same bar as gold’s low, then rose to $60.74 at 1:30 AM ET. It has not closed above $60.73 since.
The gold/silver ratio (how many ounces of silver one ounce of gold buys) is 69.4 on our prices, up from 69.1 at Monday’s close. On spot data it is near the top of its range of the past three weeks. A rising ratio means silver is not keeping up with gold, which is a sign the bounce lacks broad support.
Gold/silver ratio, past two weeks
Gold and silver price levels we’re watching
| Level | Gold | Silver | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sunday-night high | $4,217 | $61.46 | Where Sunday’s push stopped |
| Top of last week’s range | $4,208 | $61.19 | Gold closed above it only in thin Sunday-evening trading; Friday’s silver high |
| Overnight high | $4,200.63 | $60.74 | No 15-minute close above either level yet |
| Overnight low | $4,150.79 | $59.58 | Set at 9:45 PM ET; both bounced the same bar |
| Breakout zone | $4,143–$4,150 | $59.60 | Gold’s breakout area last Thursday; silver’s prior support. Tested overnight, no 15-minute close below |
Over the past 18 sessions a typical day for gold covered about $63 from high to low, and 80% of days stayed inside $80. Overnight gold covered about $50, so there is room for a normal-sized move before the CPI report.
What the Fed is expected to do
According to CME FedWatch, futures markets price an 80.6% chance that the Fed holds rates at 3.75%–4.00% at its October 27–28 meeting and a 19.4% chance of a hike, with no chance of a cut (as of 8:25 AM ET). Hike odds are down from 21.0% at Monday’s close and close to the 19.9% priced a week ago. With bonds trading again, the 10-year Treasury yield is 5.19% and the 2-year is 4.78%, both lower than Friday. The 10-year TIPS yield, a common measure of real interest rates, was last 2.87%. Higher real rates raise the cost of holding a metal that pays no interest, which keeps rates the main headwind for gold.
That is why Wednesday’s inflation report matters. Forecasts compiled by Forex Factory call for consumer prices to rise 0.6% in September and 3.6% from a year earlier, up from 3.4%. A hotter number would add to the case for another hike.
Economic calendar: what’s next for gold this week
Weekly Market Notes
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See the latest weekly emailThis weekAusecure closing ask
| Day | Gold | Change | Silver | Silver change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MonOct 12 | $4,175.80 | −0.5% | $60.44 | −0.8% |
| TueOct 13 | $4,165.20 | −0.3% | $59.31 | −1.9% |
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What today’s move means if you buy physical gold or silver
Gold is back near the middle of its two-week range, and silver has lagged. Many of our customers buy on a schedule or add on down days, and they compare premiums as well as spot. A few practical points:
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Silver spot (XAG/USD), past two weeks
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Frequently asked questions
What is the gold price today?
Before the New York open, Ausecure’s gold ask was $4,189.60 an ounce at 8:37 AM ET on Oct 13, 2026, up $13.80 (0.3%) from Monday’s closing ask of $4,175.80. Spot traded between $4,150.79 and $4,200.63 overnight. By 11:33 AM ET it had slipped to $4,166.80, down $9.00 (0.2%) on the day. For the current bid and ask, see our live metal prices page.
Why was gold up before the open?
The dollar index fell 0.3% and the 10-year Treasury yield dropped about 0.05 percentage point as U.S. bonds reopened after Columbus Day, and Brent crude eased about 1.3%. By our estimate the weaker dollar explains all of gold’s 0.3% overnight gain.
Did gold hold $4,150 overnight?
Yes, so far. Gold fell to $4,150.79 at 9:45 PM ET on Oct 12, just above the $4,143–$4,150 area where it broke out last Thursday, but no 15-minute bar closed below $4,155. It then rose to $4,200.63 at 1:15 AM ET.
When is the CPI report this week?
The September consumer price index is due Wednesday, Oct 14, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET (7:30 AM CT). Forecasts compiled by Forex Factory call for a 0.6% monthly rise and 3.6% from a year earlier.
Is a small rise before CPI a good time to buy gold?
We don’t give investment advice, and no one can reliably call short-term moves around a data release. Some buyers wait for the number; others buy a fixed amount on a schedule so they don’t have to time the market, which our Auto-Buy program does automatically. Whatever you choose, compare the premium over spot and buy from a dealer that confirms your price when you order.
This note is general market commentary from the Ausecure trading desk, based on data available at 8:37 AM ET on Oct 13, 2026. It is for informational purposes only and is not investment, tax or financial advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any product. Ausecure is a dealer in physical precious metals and earns revenue from the products discussed. Precious-metal prices can go down as well as up, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Consider your own circumstances, and speak with a qualified adviser if you need one, before you buy.
Sources: Ausecure live prices (ask; Monday closing ask); CME FedWatch; FXStreet; HDFC Sky commodity research; FRED 10-year TIPS yield; Forex Factory economic calendar; OANDA, TVC (incl. Brent and Treasury yields) and COMEX data via TradingView.
How this note is made: drafted with automated tools from Ausecure’s own prices and the market data listed above, then checked and approved by Ausecure before it was published.
